Apparently, winning 8 of our first 9 isn’t enough for some people. But that’s fine. We’re not in the “making friends” business. We’re in the “making correct calls” business—and business is booming.

Tonight’s Pick:

Buffalo Bills teased to -6.5

Why we’re backing Buffalo:

• Mike McDaniel might be the Silicon Valley savant of play design, but he hasn’t cracked the Buffalo code: 1-6 against the Bills since he took over. That’s not a rivalry—it’s a recurring beatdown.

• Miami’s defense has been about as sturdy as wet paper towels: lowest defensive EPA in the league (-26.03) through two weeks. Meanwhile, Buffalo sits atop the charts with the highest offensive EPA (31.28). Translation: one team moves the ball like an F1 car, the other defends like a tricycle with training wheels.

• Explosive plays? Buffalo’s already stacked six plays of 30+ yards. Miami? Just one. That’s the kind of imbalance that makes a difference in primetime.

• Turnovers? Buffalo has won the turnover battle in 24 straight games, the longest streak in NFL history. Miami? Dead last in turnover margin through two weeks (-4). That’s not a fluke. That’s a theme.

• Third downs? Opponents are converting 51.9% against Miami. You can’t get off the field if your defense is allergic to stops.

• Oh, and here’s the dagger: Miami’s allowed points on 75% of opponent drives so far, the highest rate for any team in the 2000s. Not just bad—historic bad.

The Call:

The Bills don’t just win this game. They stretch it out, control the tempo, and put Miami on the mat early. Teasing Buffalo to -6.5 gives us breathing room, but honestly, we might not need it.

The FineLine is 8-1. If you’re still not signed up for the Pro or VIP tiers, you’re basically spotting the rest of the field a lead.